Numerical Weather & Hydrodynamic Modeling

07-Day CWC Advance Flood Forecasting Model

Predictive water level simulations derived from upstream catchment runoff, rainfall forecasts, and Central Water Commission (CWC) hydrodynamic routing models.

Hydrodynamic Simulation Cycle: 06:00 IST Run

Input: IMD High-Resolution WRF Precipitation + CWC Gauge Telemetered Inflows

Forecast Horizon: 168 Hours (7 Days)Confidence: 92.4%

7-Day Advance Peak Inflow & Danger Level Breach Projections

Click station row to inspect hydrograph

Station & River	District	Current Level	Danger Level	Projected Peak Level	Estimated Peak Time	Lead Time	Threat Tier
Birdghat River Rapti	Gorakhpur	75.82 m	74.98 m	76.25 m +1.27 m Above DL	2026-09-11 18:00 IST Rising Rapidly	60 Hours	Extreme
Paliakalan River Sharda	Lakhimpur Kheri	154.92 m	154.28 m	155.20 m +0.92 m Above DL	2026-09-11 06:00 IST Rising	48 Hours	Severe
Elgin Bridge River Ghaghra	Barabanki	106.35 m	106.07 m	106.55 m +0.48 m Above DL	2026-09-11 12:00 IST Rising	54 Hours	High
Turtipar River Ghaghra	Ballia	64.48 m	64.01 m	64.80 m +0.79 m Above DL	2026-09-11 20:00 IST Rising	62 Hours	High
Varanasi River Ganga	Varanasi	69.85 m	71.26 m	71.10 m +-0.16 m Above DL	2026-09-12 18:00 IST Rising Steeper	84 Hours	Warning Stage Breach

Predictive Hydrograph Simulation: Rapti at Birdghat

Above Danger Level

Anticipated Flood Inflow: Low-lying wards of Gorakhpur city and 45 revenue villages in Campierganj & Sahjanwa. Projected peak arrival in 60 hours (2026-09-11 18:00 IST).

Loading forecast model hydrograph…